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20121104
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of the political universe is ohio. president obama and governor romney are locked in a tight race to reach the magic number of 270 votes and ohio could tip the scames one way or the other. that's why the candidates are putting time and effort in the buck eye state . joining me senior political analyst for the washington examiner michael moran. >> good to be with you. >> this election may come down to ohio. what does romney have to do to win the state. >> he has to win over a lot of afluent voters necessary suburbian areas that haven't voted republican in the last couple of presidential election. areas with which republicans used to win but trended democratic over the last 20 years. on the cultural issues and he has to win them over economic and stewardship and foreign policy get the white nonblue collar. obama campaign baraged ohio with ads. biggest anti-romney ads he's outsourced job to china and he fired me and my wife got cancer and all of that sort of thing. they have seen it in ohio and white noncollege voters in ohio are considerably not likely to support romney than in other states.
started in many states and one of the early voters in ohio was president obama. he had to produce a photoid to vote. help me to understand recognizable person in the entire united states of america has to show his photoid why is it too much to ask that for the rest of that. most of them gave up the licenses and passport. if chicago requires voters id. those who say we ain't got voters fraud going on around here, they must have missed the powerful and disturbing reports filed by eric shawn who exposed voters fraud in multiple states. eric reportod hudson hallum a sitting democrat who pled guilty vodka voting scheme ited his father and city council and even a police officer. the u.s. attorney appointed by barak obama and eric holder got the guilty pleas and the resignation. it is just people don't usually get caught. in virginia this we're. patrick moran was forced to resign from his father's campaign after an undercover video showing young moran aiding and abetting fraud and get ballots and using forged documentings. i joked that you ought fovote early and often. but i never meant
been canceled and even president obama isn't going to ohio tomorrow. he's going to let bill clinton, the former president campaign for him in youngstown, ohio instead. it looks like mitt romney is going to be hunkering down in ohio a state he needs to be better in. president obama is going to be stuck at the white house. and he went to florida tonight so he could be in place for a rally tomorrow. he may regret going there at all because he'll be coming back to the white house to monitor the storm, but it's going to be halting a lot of political activity going forward into wednesday. maybe even thursday, but right now the white house is looking at canceling even more events, potentially another event that the president was going to be having in wisconsin on tuesday night. so, it looks like we're coming to a stand still for a couple of days here. >> geraldo: so, you have both governor romney and president obama trying to balance the fact that the election is eight, nine days away, with the, first of all, the perception that they have to be paying attention, they have to be-- the pres
makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand the president is getting good marks and governor chris christie, keeps bragging what a great job doing that. it can't hurt the president with that happening. maybe he gains a point on approval but it's way to early to know. in key places like ohio, i'm not sure it's going to
to get there if he loses ohio. >> greta: joe, thank you. coming up the obama administration, did they deliberately mislead americans about libya. that is the question. new poll asks questions. and just when you think you saw every campaign ad. a new campaign ad will make you wonder if there are any limits. that is just two minutes away. ♪ [ male announcer ] it started long ago. the joy of giving something everything you've got. it takes passion. and it's not letting up anytime soon. at unitedhealthcare insurance company, we understand that commitment. and always have. so does aarp, an organization serving the needs of americans 50 and over for generations. so it's no surprise millions have chosen an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, they help cover some of the expenses medicare doesn't pay. and save you up to thousands in out-of-pocket costs. to find out more, request your free decision guide. call or go online today. after all, when you're going the distance, it's nice to hav
in the last election, but do you think that? >> president obama has had a small but steady lead in ohio. we think the romney campaign is looking at a saturation point. there's not much more than you can do except get out the vote. with money, the with the candidate's time more importantly, i think speaks to change the strategy because the current strategy isn't working. they're looking for alternate paths to 270. states where it looked like romney was pulling ahead in. florida, virginia, colorado. the fact the romney campaign is running an ad in florida trying to tie the president to castro and chavez speaks to insecurity on his part about whether the cuban population will come out to vote. i think this is evidence of a scramble to hit 270. >> and let's look at the map. i promised i would. paul and ryan. if romney could pull off a win in pennsylvania, this does make the path to 270 completely different. so, he wouldn't even need ohio. we have 237 for obama, 206 for romney. 95 up for grabs, so if romney gets pennsylvania, we call it a snatch because it's very difficult to do, he's in the lea
-- >> president obama has created jobs, particularly in ohio where we restored the auto industry. no one can take that away from this past administration, but what they can attribute to governor romney is let them go bankrupt, and also a misleading and distorting ad that tells not the truth but a distortion of that which is so unfair. they will vote the truth and the truth will set them free, and they will vote november 6th and be free. >> excellent, thanks so much to both of you. i appreciate it. of course, the drum beat carries on. just three days to go until election day. many discussions to be had before folks in large numbers hopefully make it to the polls. thanks so much to both of you. appreciate. >>> it's canceled for the first time in 42 years. talking about sunday's new york city marathon. critics were afraid the race would hurt the sandy recovery efforts. now runners have turned their attention from the race to those most in need. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. governor of getting it done. you know how to dance... with a deadline. and you...rent from national. because only
governor romney in the lead for colorado. rasmussen s 50/46 nrg has set at one. obama's stopped and ohio everyday trying to get that 18 votes although romney shows a 2.eight. we will examine all of the members tonight. we have joe trip the special assistant to george to the bush, rahm christi. fox news unovers the smoking gun with the benghazi cover up. does it lead to the oval office? we have to be miller and dr. walid phares. and the subjects you may have noticed. but joining us now be have former special assistant to george w. bush, christie and joe, a race is separated one-tenth of 1%. >> is a dead heat national the list fascinating is we talk about the ground game since april and it may decide this more importantly one candidate the but the win all of them or none of them are split equally and be up for several days to figure out. lou: to whom is you give momentum? or are they add tae? >> good evening. if i give an indicator to momentum as governor romney. listen to the stump speech not only today but he is very optimistic and upbeat have the will turn things around obama has been s
bailout. that plays well for are obama in ohio. where are it saved a lot of jobs but not in wisconsin where the auto bailout failed to keep open the gm plant in janesville. and scott walker's union reforms succeeded and then paul ryan the native son who could help out a lot. >> i also think there is a snub value. i remember when there was a recall vote and the mayor of milwaukee the democrat wanted president obama to come and he flew from washington to mississippi for a fundraiser over -- from washington to minneapolis and flew from minneapolis to wisconsin again over the state of wisconsin and failed to stop to help. >> a clear snub. and republican ares are really organized in wisconsin. they had the big recall election. they have gotten together for a major partisan fight not all the way back in 2010 but just a few months ago. >> if they he come close and don't wen a lot of people will be wondering why the romney campaign didn't go in earlier. the only time he was there until this monday was to welcome paul ryan to his home state. it was a carey and gore state but -- it was a kerry
, four years. >> critical time hours president obama raced through three campaign stops in ohio and declared the new jobs report shows real progress in the first term. it was telling he spent less than ten seconds on the actual unemployment report. and only touched on the better than expected 171,000 jobs created. >> today, our businesses created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned that companies hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> in battleground wisconsin, republican romney said he glossed over the messier details a charged the nation will face a recession if mr. obama is re-elected. >> he said he would lower the unemployment rate, down to 5.#% now. today we learn it's actually 7.9%. that is 9 million jobs short of what he promised. unemployment is higher today than when obama took office. >> former labor department official notes at this pace it would take decade to get back to full employment. >> we need to have certain growth to keep up with the population. we're still talking nine or ten years of recovery. >> yet, the pr
to the back and fourth over the one ad run in ohio. >> obama took g.m. and chrysler to bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italliance who would build jeeps. romney will fight for every american job. >> you have folks working at the jeep plant calling employer worried asking is it true are the jobs shipped to china? the reason they make calls is governor romney is running an ad that said so. it's not true. >> the head of chrysler confirmed the romney ad said the company intended to return jeep production to china. world's largest auto market. in order to satisfy local market demand. obviously touchy. there is one speech that romney said take the jobs from ohio to china. the add does not say that. whether it infers that is neither here nor there. but chrysler-fiat is building jeeps in china. number one. number two, models in italy including jeeps are going to be exported in to the u.s. what about the controversy. >> the "new york times" had this alone to say it concentrate on ad that will stretch the truth is unbeliev unbelievable. they want to liquidate the auto company and disappear in thin ai
. >> i can tell you, we pulled ohio last week. and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on it the
. >> and ohio has been critical. in fact, necessary to every republican presidential win. but president obama has held on to a small lead there. his strategists are buoyed by choosing an overwhelming 2-1 lead for the president among early voters. the president staged the finale of his 48-hour marathon campaign in ohio. >> i am glad to be back in cleveland, ohio. >> despite the money, the trips, and the speeches, ohio wree main stubbornly in the toss-up category. a cnn poll reveals the president with a 50% to 46% lead. former ohio governor ted strickland and virginia governor bobbing mcdonnell up next. dad's tablet... or lauren's smartphone... at&t has a plan built to help make families' lives easier. introducing at&t mobile share. one plan lets you share data on up to 10 devices with unlimited talk and text. add a tablet for only $10 per month. at&t. add a tablet for only $10 per month. one is for a clean, wedomestic energy future that puts us in control. our abundant natural gas is already saving us money, producing cleaner electricity, putting us to work here in america and supporting wind
is that president obama has maintained a small but a very consistent lead in ohio. i don't know of any poll that has shown the president not leading over the last few months, as a matter of fact. >> do you think it counts for the rise of independence? >> we have a good ground operation. >> what do you think -- >> i'm sorry? >> what do you think accounts for the rise of independents towards the romney campaign? what's going on there? >> i'm not sure there are many true independents. i think people who even refer to themselves as independents typically feel some kind of allegiance to one of the major parties or the other. ohio is a very closely divided state, but ohio's unemployment, as you know, is 7%. the auto industry, which ohioans value greatly and provides a lot of jobs for our people is doing really well, and thanks to the president, and so i think ohioans are feeling -- i think they think our economy is coming back. >> any credit to your republican governor? >> i'm sorry? >> do you give any credit for that economy to your republican governor? >> i think two -- do, candy. >> well, candy, i thin
right, let's write it down. new york times, gave hard for the obama team put him up 5 points in ohio and karl rove looked specifically at that poll. overpolling, oversampling of democrats skewing the overall result. that's a fact, not an opinion. >> stuart. i've been hearing about the skewed polls for ages and here is the bottom line, every pollster worth their salt and that's most pollster, are not going to skew numbers, nobody will believe them when the numbers don't prove to be accurate. when you look at the polls the way the people's lives depend on it you're not going to-- your credibility is on the line. stuart: the is new york poll, oversampling. >> and even rasmussen said democratic turnout is going to be higher than republican turnout. >> what the polls said. >> gave it a plus 2. and stuart is asking a fact-based questioning. have you looked at the sampling methodology. >> i have. >> and did you see it could be skewed toward more democrats. >> let me tell thank you, there are certain polls that screw more democrat and some screw republican because the automated and call peop
, a vital state, they have it tied at 49. but the university of cincinnati has obama leading by 2 in ohio, 48-46. colorado, they have romney up by 3. 50-47. but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we l
lou: goo evening, everybody. the battle for ohio is on in earnest. president obama and a governor romney barnstorming the state of ohio today, a swing state, with 18 electoral votes that could be the key to victory tesday. four days before we choose who ll lead the nation for the next four years, president obama making an outrageous claims about his record in the face of a rise in the unemployment rate today, which had just under 8%, is higher than when the president took office. >> our idea were tried and testedand they worked. their ideas were also tried, and they did no work done so well. lou: 23 milli americans to remain out of work might disagree. the national debt has risen by more than $5 trillion. the nation'seconomy, it is all but stagnant. this has governor romney running l as the candidate of change. >> accomplishing change is not just something i talked about. it is sething actually done, and we need to hve someone in the white house who cannot just talk about it, but do it. lo the most recent poll of ohio mirrors those tight national polls. rasmussen reports showing g
in ohio. the obama campaign as far as getting a jazz of, they basically said, we know we're probably going to lose independent voters, but we can afford to as long as we don't lose the by too much. we don't need that -- you know, we don't need to convince as many people. the republicans. neil: we want to thank you. mitt romney, on this, sandy, what he will do, but as all my guests pointed out, the incorporated this and the storm and the fact that they are not oblivious to it in virtually all of their course adjustment. romney has said more because he is still campaigning. come back to the white house and being presidential. always that fine line between not looking to opportunistic, but you are running for president. pleased to see and hear from you. here to continue coverage. don't forget six days from now we will be with you all might beginning at 6:55 p.m. right through -- a lot of states and localities still don't have power. that could be like, you know, doing account in botswana. the long-distance think i've ever been on the air straight is 11 hours. does the record. we could break t
house correspondent dan lothian is in mentor, ohio where president obama will be campaigning later this morning. dan, the crowds for 2012 have not been as big as the 2008 crowds. big turnout expected for his last campaign weekend though? >> reporter: oh, definitely. i mean, the white house says and the campaign rather says that the president has been facing in these recent days some fired up supporters. they expect the same to happen here in ohio today. we've been talking so much about the big push in the battleground states, but ohio being the most important, the president made three stops here yesterday. he'll be making two events or two stops in this state today, returning here again tomorrow. the campaign saying that the reason that they are making this big push here is not because they are concerned at all about losing ohio but because they believe that this is a very important state, and the big pitch from the president has been the auto industry and the bailout. the president talking about how his policies have helped to save a lot of jobs here and how mitt romney's vision i
, the gallup poll 41 and all for romney, and nobody trusts president obama on the economy. >> ohio and-- >> and investors don't trust him, because-- investors don't trust him he's already told businesses the tax rates are going to go up, especially on small businesses and secondly, obamacare, the single largest mandated labor cost hike in american history is about to clobber. >> unemployment is the best in years and-- >> the unemployment is the best it's been in years. >> down to 7.8%. >> that doesn't mean more people are working. >> and the numbers have shown the economy is getting better. >> the american people are more than the people you live with and hang out in your house. 7.8% is not real when it's 14.7%. and americans are working two and three jobs. americans are still looking for some kind of recovery and they're not with barack obama to get that recovery. >> the jobs that barack obama put forward and the republicans want to get him out of office. if the republicans sit down with the president in a bipartisan way and work on a jobs bill. >> federal government spending does not
is higher today than when barack obama took office. rich: president obama's -- the romney campaign has featured bankruptcy with the government providing guarantees proposed financing. ohio could very well decide this race. president obama returned tomorrow. governor romney later this weekend. david: thank you very much. let's bring in our panel. liz: we have jeff cleveland and fill -- the action you saw today, didn't say anything about what we may see next week and review a little perplexed? >> we sell gold and silver get liquidated. they thought that qe maybe a little shorter and its duration. as the day went on, we sell oil prices continue to decline. we sell gold and silver break down harder. that put a lot of pressure on the margin situation. liz: we need to show a gold chart. gold plummeted today. gold was up about $1700, now it is 1678. if you look at the one week, you'll get a better sense of that. what do you attribute the following gold? >> we sell strength. it was the unemployment rate not having any type of shockers whatsoever. people are concerned that vernay keys days are
election day. another battleground state in the state of ohio this is a place where the obama campaign worked very hard in early voting in the african-american community in the cleveland area, right here, cuyahoga county here. i'll draw a big line, cleveland, the cleveland suburbs and to a lesser degree down here to the south in the akron area people without power, put it to the same test, how did they vote in 2008, you see some republicans in the more rural counties but across the top of the state the northern part of the state heavy democratic areas, our producer called out too cuyahoga today early voting down a bit today than it was four years ago so you see some obvious immediate impact. the question is again, with the few more days to go, five more days can they get this fixed come election day. one more quick example in the northern virginia suburbs and again to the naked eye it tells the story. still a lot of people out right on the northern washington d.c. area, right there, fairfax county, arlington, go back four years, you see all that blue, this is the area most critical to
a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the final six days it's very clear it's going to go right down to the wire with anybody's guess in some of the battleground states in the quest for 270 electoral votes. national polls s. tied as is some of those battleground states even with the margin of error. shep? >> shepard: carl cammeron in jacksonville florida tonight. little relief for air travelers coming in and out of the nation's airspace after sandy. earlier today two of new york's airports reopened on a limited basis. jfk and newark liberty international across the river in jersey. port authority which runs all the airports is urging folks to call airlines for information. laguardia airport scheduled to reopen tomorrow morning. again, very limited and it's pretty amazing when you consider it looked like this. under water as recently as yesterday. the storm that produced floods all along the coast brought snow. look at west virginia. emergency officials report the weight of the sno
. that's a staches has had for 40 years. tough hurdle for mr. romney to clear in ohio. in the last 48 hours or so there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the final six days it's very clear it's going to go right down to the wire with anybody's guess in some of the battleground states in the quest for 270 electoral votes. national polls s. tied as is some of those battleground states even with the margin of error. shep? >> shepard: carl cammeron in jacksonville florida tonight. little relief for air travelers coming in and out of the nation's airspace after sandy. earlier today two of new york's airports reopened on a limited basis. jfk and newark liberty internation
to ohio where he's sharing today the state with president obama who's already there. both are chris crossing the state today hoping to convince those elusive, undiseased voters. -- undecideed voters. hi, john. >> reporter: good afternoon, jenna. you can tell how important the buckeye state is. virginia, ohio, wisconsin, ohio, florida, o. governor romney making his closing arguments in these last four days of the campaign saying you've got a choice between change and status quo, leaning heavily on his experience in the private sector and as governor of massachusetts to turn financial situations around, saying that the president doesn't have that sort of experience, he didn't have any leadership qualities or at least experience before he came into this job and that what america needs right now is a real course change. here's what the governor said. >> i know how to change the course that the country's on, how to get us to a balanced budget, how to help raise take home pay accomplishing real change is something i don't just talk about, it's something i've done. [cheers and applause] an
. >> that's the point i was going to make. the obama campaign in say the state of ohio is investing $50 million in gotv activity. unless they pull voters to the polls the natural enthusiasm advantage the republicans enjoy could give governor romney a slight edge. the gotv effort i firmly believe is stronger on the democratic side than the republican side. it is not ideology, it is just fact. if that happens it could give obama a very, very narrow margin. martha: gotv is get-out-the-vote for those folks that haven't had a fill of their coffee this morning. >> absolutely. martha: monica, read these for me. >> i think the republicans enjoy a strong intensity gap. when we talk about get-out-the-votes effort that is incredibly foorn but the the democrats enjoyed four years ago which has swung in the other direction is so intense. we saw from gallup earlier this week, martha we're looking at all-time highs in terms of enthusiasm, highest of any point gallup has been polling. you look at that. then you combine that with numbers you put out, martha, about the major issues driving voters to the
that we're in a tie. the swing state data showing ever so slight obama lead, within the margin of error. ohio couple points up. through the midwest, wisconsin, michigan, minnesota, a couple points up, a couple points up in pennsylvania. ever so slight obama lead there. but it could go either way. martha: monica? >> yeah. what is interesting we're seeing the traditional tightening of a race as we get closer and closer to election day. what is interesting that independent number you put you, martha, governor romney still has a very healthy lead among independents and doug mentioned the swing states, when you look at critical swing states states of ohio, governor romney is leading among independents by six points n virginia he is leading among independents by a staggering 21 points among independents. also in florida he is leading by about five points. races are won in the middle. those independents will really decide this race and they seem to be trending toward governor romney. martha: let's look at some of these other numbers. i was fascinated by these when they came out in the evening
or it is the argument the obama folks are making great the economy in ohio is just as bad as it is anywhere else in the country and our arguments are getting her there. we have the momentum in ohio, and i i guess we will figured out tuesday night. thank you both. ashley: could superstorm sandy reinforce social media's importance the importance during a crisis or natural disaster? it seem so. but not without pickups. dennis kneale covering that story and he joins us now. reporter: hello, ashley. for all the damage caused by sandy, this horrible hurricane may mean a windfall for twitter. many took to the social networking site to keep tabs on hurricane sandy. local governments and the stormont has been values. 9 million on my conversations about hurricane sandy occurred in a single day on twitter. tuesday, a hash tag sandy got more than 4 million post from 400,000 accounts according to a tracking firm called radium six. they reached an audience of more than 3 billion people. this is what the firm claims. on facebook's instagram photosites, six photos with every second. that also means pranksters p
and an outside chance at mish ban and minnesota. but obama made a crucial mistake. he figured he would do ohio would be his fire wall. ohio and iowa. and if he did a lot of stuff there and a lot of negatives on romney, they couldn't get by that. but what romney's done, they have gone over the fire wall and gone into pennsylvania, where obama's never been on the air. and in the last week, the last week of the election, obama is spenning about $2 million in pennsylvania and romney and his allies are spending $11 million. pennsylvania is going to go for romney. he is 3 points ahead now. those 20 electoral votes will put him over the top, long before we call the 18 in ohio. >> greta: all right. let me ask but ohio. all the polls are neck and neck so they are tied. so tell me why those polls are not to be public believed and why listening to you, we should think you are right in calling ohio? >> because the polls that are out there, for example, the times/cbs poll interviewed 38% democrats and 29% of their sample are republicans. about an 8 or 9-point democratic advantage. now in 2008, there was an
romney has the edge. guess who was in ohio last night. mitt romney. he was there with paul ryan at a big event. and i know you guys played sound from president obama on mtv, president obama was also reaching out to young voters. take a listen. >> if you're a college student looking to graduate sometime, maybe next spring, you know you've got, what, $10,000 or $20,000 worth of loans you've got to pay back. and you know how heavy a burden that might be if you did your calculation. but by the way, because of all the spending of this administration and prior administrations, you also have about $50,000 of government debt. yeah. and what's the president doing about that? why, he keeps on adding more and more and more debt. i don't understand how a college kid can vote for barack obama. >> reporter: i think it's safe to say president obama will disagree with those comments. it's a little windy right now, courtesy of tropical storm sandy, but no hit impacting us here in florida. mitt romney with three events in the state today. >> all righty. >> thank you very much, paul. >>> new this morning,
and cast their ballot. the vast ajority of them went to barack obama. that is why he has these tail mary's trying get bruce springsteen and in ohio and iowa, trying to a kid young people up to vote for him. these are not college kids. thousands are coming out oon college campuses. the mtv was swayed. nike said, you won't have any hard-hitting journalistic questions. will these tactics work? they do, but not to the same degree they did in 2008. gerri: the question is all about whether young people go and vote at the end of the day. something that i think is really important. this new ad with a young girl. she is an actress and hit series called girls. i want you to lisn to this. it's pretty provocative. >> your first time should not be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. is to be with a guy with beautiful, someone who really cares about and understands women. >> my first time voting, it was -- gerri: really? what do you make of this? part of the probl with this for me is that it is yet more evidence that the president is not being presidential. the campaign has to go
. they were all going to vote for barack obama anyway. it is the swing state of ohio, and now the increasingly swung state of pennsylvania now coming into play that have taken really, taken a big hit with this storm. it may help the president on the margins but then again mitt romney was photographed yesterday, helping with hurricane relief. cheryl: monica, your point about the fact, hurricanes mostly hit blue states. what if, there is low turnout in those states what does that mean? >> it could have a depressive effect. that is true. a lot of people talking about power maybe not restored for another week which would take us into election day. i know in new jersey where my mom lives, there is some talk about distributing absent tee ballots to a lot of these communities down on the shore so they do have a chance to vote by mail in case power is not up. ashley: doug, let's move on from the storm, jobs report coming out on friday, if it is a particularly weak one, how much does that hurt the president? >> well, if i'm right and i think i am about the narrative benefiting from, in the short term,
in this election. ultimately we have talked about before. early on this point. ohio is the name of the game. the issue. right now it is encouraging to see the ground game obama has been a lead he has. the acts of desperation mitt romney has had to engage in. lou: did we just transition from analysis time a raw-rob party for democrats? >> pretty much. neil this. i'm busted. lou: well, as robert is basking in the glow of something that is not quite, maybe you can give us a sensas to what you think will happen specifically. >> the same states we have been talking about for quite some time. remember that one out of every eight jobs, the halo effect directly to the other industry. obama basking in glory of the bailout, as he should. that is what is turning the election the way it is. lou: to you by these polls? do you buy that it's this tight? that these swing state polls are really the strong? >> well, the polls seem odd because we saw a big shift in the nationwide polls. after the first debate. but then we have seenome movement in swing states like florida and virginia, although not as much as
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